Description

This analysis provides a forecast of LTC prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-10-19 64.186132 72.750872 81.526254 91.156308 101.394961 111.925517 123.544946
2025-10-26 50.755535 62.973523 76.085452 91.064552 107.572969 125.094384 144.982983
2025-11-02 43.004992 57.215009 73.001129 91.553096 112.497368 135.179765 161.381044
2025-11-09 36.347355 51.763371 69.459523 90.795299 115.392108 142.486705 174.237078
2025-11-16 31.490547 47.814172 67.122990 90.931921 118.871976 150.084277 187.086363
2025-11-23 26.909042 43.697364 64.173599 89.984013 120.788707 155.652182 197.421191
2025-11-30 24.066913 41.473471 63.271400 91.254206 125.109972 163.822912 210.586013
2025-12-07 21.730971 39.669153 62.701455 92.767806 129.590836 172.079543 223.770262
2025-12-14 18.691801 36.607453 60.305070 91.840219 130.994009 176.624905 232.569832
2025-12-21 15.701612 33.302678 57.357924 90.026050 131.161976 179.588743 239.421702
2025-12-28 14.918182 33.157119 58.555030 93.437298 137.698627 190.086733 255.079325
2026-01-04 13.675851 32.187027 58.548523 95.233852 142.194383 198.119605 267.821326
2026-01-11 11.754599 29.979473 56.739893 94.633964 143.698161 202.589355 276.418240
2026-01-18 10.062700 27.950031 55.053865 94.101076 145.219811 207.038688 284.967201
2026-01-25 8.858451 26.603826 54.252329 94.675697 148.088462 213.083514 295.387932
2026-02-01 7.451079 24.703374 52.515035 93.890034 149.148689 216.867621 303.061899
2026-02-08 6.415302 23.348807 51.503881 94.031603 151.353454 222.022967 312.360377
2026-02-15 5.271804 21.589294 49.756852 93.065210 152.055105 225.274819 319.323860
2026-02-22 4.684429 20.902462 49.641237 94.359676 155.694905 232.163718 330.693959
2026-03-01 4.196974 20.360282 49.717561 95.901911 159.646702 239.435707 342.531071
2026-03-08 3.365421 18.841002 48.108475 94.956795 160.252314 242.483301 349.187921
2026-03-15 2.528305 17.062542 45.940504 93.108110 159.583460 243.877194 353.779408
2026-03-22 2.466018 17.393019 47.383232 96.584012 166.090899 254.358042 369.556913